Case study malaria epidemics

Six months into the coronavirus outbreak, children have largely been spared its worst effects. But the pandemic may well cause hundreds of thousands of children to die this year: not from COVID, but from malaria. The World Health Organization WHO warned in April that disruptions to malaria prevention and treatment caused by the coronavirus could see malaria deaths double this year. The increase alone—estimated at the worst case to be ,—would almost equal the current confirmed death toll of COVID With peak malaria season rapidly approaching in major malaria-endemic countries, the window of time in which to avoid disaster is rapidly closing. Ebola outbreaks provide worrying precedent.
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Risk factors of malaria in children under the age of five years old in Uganda

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Malaria - Our World in Data

Metrics details. Surveillance, combined with early detection algorithms, can be an effective intervention strategy to inform timely public health responses to potential outbreaks. Our main objective was to compare the potential for detecting malaria outbreaks by selected event detection methods. We used historical surveillance data with weekly counts of confirmed Plasmodium falciparum including mixed cases from the Amhara region of Ethiopia, where there was a resurgence of malaria in following several years of declining cases. We also found distinct trade-offs between the percent of events detected and the percent of true positive alarms. This method uses statistical models to establish thresholds while controlling for seasonality and multi-year trends, and we suggest that it and other model-based approaches should be considered more broadly for malaria early detection. Peer Review reports.
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SARS-CoV-2 circulated undetected months before first COVID-19 cases in Wuhan, China: study

Atypical environmental conditions with drought followed by heavy rainfall and flooding in arid areas in sub-Saharan Africa can lead to explosive epidemics of malaria, which might be prevented through timely vector-control interventions. Wajir County in Northeast Kenya is classified as having seasonal malaria transmission. The aim of this study was to describe in Wajir town the environmental conditions, the scope and timing of vector-control interventions and the associated resulting burden of malaria at two time periods — and — This is a cross-sectional descriptive and ecological study using data collected for routine program monitoring and evaluation.
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Malaria Journal volume 6 , Article number: 93 Cite this article. Metrics details. African highlands often suffer of devastating malaria epidemics, sometimes in conjunction with complex emergencies, making their control even more difficult. In , Burundian highlands experienced a large malaria outbreak at a time of civil unrest, constant insecurity and nutritional emergency. There are few reported interventions of this type to control malaria epidemics in complex emergency contexts.
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